Vitória Guimarães vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
5º
12
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
18º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
CEL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
56%
23%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
BOA
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 0
BOA
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |