Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
VIT
5%
16%
79%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 1
SLB
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 4
BYM
9%
14%
78%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 2
SLB
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SLB
0 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |