Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
VIT
27%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 5
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |