Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
GFC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
56%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
5 - 1
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
GAL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |