Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
OPA
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 3
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 1
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
SLB
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
PEN
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
NAP
63%
23%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |