Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
VIT
3 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
FAR
1 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 5
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
10%
20%
70%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
SLB
2 - 1
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |