Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
SPB
3 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VIT
6 - 1
RDA
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
29%
31%
40%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VIT
2 - 1
RIO
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
SLB
6 - 0
ESP
89%
9%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
8 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |