Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 2
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 3
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 0
GYO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SLB
11 - 3
SEI
95%
3%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
GYO
0 - 1
SLB
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
VAR
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |