Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 2-8
Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
MIC
1 - 8
VIT
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 1
MIC
92%
6%
3%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
VIT
1 - 0
FCP
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
LGC
4 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
FER
1 - 7
SLB
27%
22%
51%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SLB
7 - 1
FER
87%
8%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
SLB
8 - 1
BMA
90%
7%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |