Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPC
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
2 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
VIT
4 - 1
SPB
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
4 - 2
BEL
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |