Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
6 - 3
VIT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
5 - 1
VIT
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
5 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SLB
5 - 0
ORI
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
34%
22%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SLB
9 - 0
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |