Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ATL
4 - 0
VIT
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPC
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
79%
12%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
59%
19%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
57%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
9 - 0
SAL
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |