Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 2
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLE
60%
17%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
21%
18%
62%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 2
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 2
SLE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |