Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
VIT
0 - 4
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
VIT
3 - 0
FCB
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |