Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 1
LGC
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 5
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 2
BMA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 3
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 0
BEL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCB
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |