Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIT
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
VIT
4 - 0
LEX
65%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
5 - 1
SEI
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
2 - 1
VAR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BEL
0 - 6
SLB
21%
21%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |