Vitória Guimarães vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
OLH
2 - 0
VIT
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPB
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 0
OEL
62%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
EST
4 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
0 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |