Vitória Guimarães vs AVS Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
8º
5º
18
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 73 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 54 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 2
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
2 - 1
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
4 - 4
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 0
GFC
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
3 - 1
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 1
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
ESA
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
AVE
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |