Vitória Guimarães vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BMA
0 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 1
LEX
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 2
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 3
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
LEX
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 3
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |