Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
Vitória Guimarães vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
VIT
4 - 0
SAL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BOA
0 - 0
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAR
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
VIT
0 - 2
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOR
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
QPR
2 - 1
ASV
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
ASV
4 - 3
WBA
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |