Europa League 1/16
Global 1-5
Vitória Guimarães vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
FAM
0 - 0
VIT
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
RSO
2 - 0
VIT
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
TIR
2 - 0
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
VIT
3 - 2
PAÇ
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
RKC
0 - 5
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
AJA
3 - 1
RBS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
RBS
0 - 3
AJA
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |