Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
3 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 4
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 3
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
44%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OLH
0 - 0
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
3 - 1
BMA
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |