Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIT
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 0
VST
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
4 - 3
ACA
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |