Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
EST
2 - 0
VIT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 3
VIT
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
ACV
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 2
FAM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |