Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
UFT
3 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 1
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 1
BOA
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |