Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
4 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 0
ACA
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |