Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
ATL
1 - 2
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
BMA
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 3
SAN
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |