Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-3
Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
VST
0 - 3
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAB
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SLB
6 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 1
OLH
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LGC
3 - 3
ACA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ACA
8 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |