Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
EST
6 - 2
VIT
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
60%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 2
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLE
60%
17%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
0 - 4
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SPB
2 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
OLH
47%
20%
33%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
OLH
12 - 0
ACA
64%
16%
19%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -2 |