Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 1
VIT
86%
9%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
VIT
1 - 4
BEL
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
ATL
2 - 0
VIT
70%
16%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAM
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
SAN
0 - 1
VIT
39%
22%
39%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 5
EST
50%
19%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
ACA
4 - 3
BOA
80%
11%
9%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
VST
5 - 1
ACA
59%
18%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
ACA
4 - 3
SLE
59%
18%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |