Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 3
FAB
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 6
VIT
30%
22%
48%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
5 - 1
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
21%
19%
60%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
93%
5%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 3
UNI
69%
15%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 7
SCP
31%
20%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 2
ACA
30%
22%
48%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 2
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |