Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
UNI
5 - 1
VIT
53%
20%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
29%
21%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIT
32%
21%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 2
LEC
81%
11%
7%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FCB
11 - 1
VIT
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
21%
45%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
40%
21%
39%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
OLH
3 - 2
ACA
41%
21%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
APO
3 - 2
ACA
29%
20%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |