Vitória Guimarães U19 vs Tondela U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
7
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 2
GUI
12%
16%
72%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
OPO
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VIZ
2 - 2
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
3 - 3
GUI
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
GON
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAÇ
3 - 3
TON
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TON
0 - 1
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FAM
2 - 0
TON
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TON
0 - 0
BRG
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 1
TON
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |