Vitória SC B vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
13º
1º
35
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99.5% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 0
DUM
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
1 - 1
VSC
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEV
1 - 2
VSC
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VIA
0 - 2
VSC
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
OSA
0 - 1
PAR
33%
27%
39%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRI
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
OSL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DUM
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 3
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |