Vitória SC B vs Atlético Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
14º
8º
4
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 47 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 42 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 39 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 1
PEV
44%
25%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
VSC
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 2
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 1
VSC
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
2 - 0
REB
24%
23%
54%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
SAL
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
ATL
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATA
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |