Vitória ES vs Vilavelhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
DES
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vilavelhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 0
RIO
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
VFC
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
VFC
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
4 - 0
GEL
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 2
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |