Vitória ES vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 3
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
VFC
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
DES
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
RIO
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
SER
67%
18%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
REA
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |