Capixaba Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
REA
2 - 4
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
REA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
2 - 1
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
JAG
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
RVV
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
0 - 0
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
2 - 1
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
RVV
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
RVV
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |