Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
AGU
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
REA
3 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
REA
0 - 0
APA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
REA
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REA
4 - 1
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
APA
2 - 1
REA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
REA
3 - 2
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |