Vitória ES vs Jaguaré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
DES
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 3
REA
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
31%
22%
47%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguaré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
RVV
0 - 0
JAG
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SER
5 - 0
JAG
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
JAG
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |