Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-8
Vitória ES vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
6 - 1
ESP
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
RIO
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 0
GOI
11%
17%
72%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
GOI
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
4%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |