Vitória ES vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
7 - 1
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
VIT
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
DES
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 5
DES
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |