Vitória ES vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
SOB
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
REA
23%
24%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
81%
15%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
83%
14%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
TFC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |