Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-6
Vitória da Conquista vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
JAC
0 - 0
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAH
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
JEC
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
6 - 0
FLU
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIV
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 3
VIT
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |