Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 1-8
Vitória da Conquista vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
16%
24%
59%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SDJ
1 - 2
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 1
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 2
SDJ
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 3
VIT
8%
17%
76%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
90%
8%
3%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | +1 |