Vitória da Conquista vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 2
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
12%
22%
65%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
JAC
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |