Vitória da Conquista vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
FEI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
VIT
23%
24%
54%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
CFC
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
VIT
23%
24%
54%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
JUA
1 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
SER
0 - 2
BAH
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |