Vitória da Conquista vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
FEI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SER
6 - 1
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
SDJ
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |