Vitória da Conquista vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
59%
22%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 5
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 3
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SDJ
0 - 1
FEI
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
SDJ
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
SDJ
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |