Vitória da Conquista vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 0
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
JEC
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
3 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
CEN
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
POT
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 2
POT
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
POT
0 - 2
ABC
12%
19%
70%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |